2026 RBC Canadian Open odds, picks: Surprising predictions by golf model that's nailed 17 majors

The 2026 RBC Canadian Open tees off at 7 a.m. ET on Thursday at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley. Because last week was a Signature Event and the U.S. Open is up next, a few of the top names on the PGA Tour such as Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy are taking the week off. It's still a strong 2026 RBC Canadian Open field, however, with four top-10 players in the OWRG -- Matt Fitzpatrick, Tommy Fleetwood, Justin Rose and Collin Morikawa -- all teeing it up along with past major winners such as Shane Lowry, Brooks Koepka and Aaron Rai.

>Fleetwood and Fitzpatrick are the co-favorites in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open odds at +1300 (risk $100 to win $1,300). Sam Burns is next at +1500, followed by Morikawa and Wyndham Clark at +2200. Before locking in any 2026 RBC Canadian Open picks, or any PGA DFS picks or One and Done selections, be sure to see the 2026 RBC Canadian Open predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

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>SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.

>This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites.

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>Now that the 2026 RBC Canadian Open field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard, which you can use for PGA picks, one and done contests or PGA DFS lineups.

>One major surprise the model is calling for at the RBC Canadian Open 2026: It is fading Burns, who has the third-lowest odds this week at +1500. He lost this event in a playoff last year, and that's a big reason why he's one of the favorites this year. But there's not a ton in his recent profile that suggests that his odds should be this low. He only has three top-10 finishes all season, and he's finished outside the top 15 in four of his past five events. See who else to fade here.

>Another surprise: The model is high on Morikawa at +2200. He's cooled a bit in the past couple tournaments, but was one of the hottest players on tour earlier this year. He won at Pebble Beach in February, beginning a span of five straight tournaments where he finished T7 or better. He hasn't played this event since 2019, but he did shoot 8 under that year. In a field that lacks some top-ranked players, the model is extremely high on Morikawa's value at this price. See who else to pick here.

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>The model is also targeting a longshot of around +3000 who make a stunning run up the RBC Canadian Open leaderboard. You can only see the model's picks here.

>Who will win the RBC Canadian Open 2026, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 RBC Canadian Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025.

>Get full 2026 RBC Canadian Open picks, best bets and predictions here. (odds via FanDuel and subject to change)

>Tommy Fleetwood +1300 Matt Fitzpatrick +1300 Sam Burns +1500 Collin Morikawa +2200 Wyndham Clark +2200 Kristoffer Reitan +2500 Robert MacIntyre +2700 Brooks Koepka +3000 Justin Rose +3000 Aaron Rai +3300 Nicolai Højgaard +3300 Alex Noren +3500 Viktor Hovland +3500 Alex Fitzpatrick +3500 Jacob Bridgeman +4000 Nick Taylor +4000 Eric Cole +4000 Harry Hall +4000 Michael Thorbjornsen +4000 Bud Cauley +4000 Shane Lowry +4000 Keith Mitchell +4500 Michael Brennan +4500 Mac Meissner +5000 Ryan Fox +5000 Sahith Theegala +6000 Tony Finau +6000 Taylor Pendrith +6500 Jordan Smith +6500 Sudarshan Yellamaraju +6500 Davis Thompson +7000 Max Greyserman +7000 Steven Fisk +7000 Aldrich Potgieter +7000 Corey Conners +7000 Doug Ghim +7000 Mackenzie Hughes +7000 Tom Kim +8000 Stephan Jaeger +8000 Christiaan Bezuidenhout +8000 Richard Hoey +8000 Johnny Keefer +8000 Andrew Putnam +8000 Haotong Li +10000 Ricky Castillo +10000 Zach Bauchou +10000 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +10000 Max Homa +10000 Jackson Suber +10000 Max McGreevy +10000 Matt Wallace +10000 Kevin Yu +10000 Austin Smotherman +10000 Taylor Moore +10000 Thorbjørn Olesen +10000