Fantasy Football Sleepers, Busts & Predictions: 2026 Buffalo Bills

In the Super Bowl era, nine teams have won a playoff game in at least five seasons in a row. Let’s look at how they fared!

TeamStreakYearsDivisional Round LossConference Championship LossSuper Bowl LossSuper Bowl WinNew England82011-20180323Kansas City72018-20240223Buffalo62020-4200Dallas61991-19962103Philadelphia52000-20041310Green Bay51993-19972111Oakland51973-19770401Baltimore52008-20122201Seattle52012-20163011So, nine teams. Seven of them won at least one Super Bowl. Of the four teams with a streak of at least six years, three won three Super Bowls. Eight made the Super Bowl. And then there are the Bills. The Buffalo Bills have won at least one playoff in each of the last six years. They’ve made the playoffs in seven straight. They won five straight AFC East crowns before falling to second and the Wild Card last year. And yet despite that they haven’t made it to the Super Bowl once, and they’ve only even made it to the Conference Championship game twice. It’s an absurd level of futility for a team experiencing an absurd level of success. Now, they enter 2026 with a new head coach and a new hope to finally break through. Can the Bills finally reach the Super Bowl? Or does the frustration continue?

2026 Sleepers, Busts & Bold Predictions: Buffalo BillsSleeper: Joshua Palmer, WRPalmer’s 2025 was a total wash. In his first year as a Bill, he had career lows in targets (37), receptions (22), yards (303), touchdowns (0) and, unsurprisingly, PPR points (52.3). So why believe in him for 2026? Well, let’s flash back. In free agency a year ago, the Bills not only signed Palmer away from the Chargers within the first few hours of free agency, they gave him one of the biggest receiver contracts that year, handing the guy three years and $36 million. There’s a story where they gave him that money and then were immediately disillusioned with the receiver and chalked it up as a sunk cost, but with another year of guaranteed money before a possible out next offseason, it’s worth noting that Palmer averaged just under 40 yards per game through his Week 6 injury but only 11.5 in the six games after he returned from injury. Then it becomes a question of competition in the offense. The Bills are running back most of the same receiver room as last year, with DJ Moore the notable addition. So if Moore fails to impress, then the team might have no choice but to lean on Palmer. Will Moore impress? Well…

Bust: DJ Moore, WRBy any measure other than touchdowns, last year was DJ Moore’s worst season in the NFL. His 85 targets were his lowest number since his rookie year in 2018, and his receptions (50) and scrimmage yardage (761) were career lows. He had zero 100-yard receiving games last year and more games with under 20 receiving yards (six) than games over 65 yards (five). His best fantasy finish of the season came in Week 9, when he had a passing touchdown on a trick play and a rushing touchdown on a play where he was ruled down at the 1 and got the touchdown on a failed Bengals challenge — in other words, that ain’t repeatable. Basically, 2025 DJ Moore was the worst version of DJ Moore we’ve ever seen. And yet the Bills gave up a second-round pick for him this offseason. That’s either a team that thinks last year was a blip, or it’s a team that hasn’t had a good receiver in a while desperate to make a move. (Or I guess it could be both.) The trends tell us (well, tell me) that it’s more the latter, and the Bills will regret the Moore trade as the now-29-year-old receiver proves to be over the hill. Moore is WR27 in the earliest PPR ADP, and the aforementioned Palmer is 121st. Maybe Moore still beats out Palmer just based on veteran status commanding targets. But I would be willing to bet they are significantly closer in final results than ADP might indicate.

Bold Prediction: Dalton Kincaid Has His Best SeasonDalton Kincaid is entering his fourth season, but he’s still trying to find the high of that first season, when he set high-water marks in targets (91), receptions (73) and yards (673). He finished as TE11 that season. But it’s worth noting that part of the problem the last two years has been injury — he missed only one game as a rookie, but four and five the last two years. He was only TE20 in 2025, but in points per game, he was TE3, exactly the same as he was as a rookie. And per FTN Stats & Charting, his yards per route run improved from 1.6 and 1.7 his first two years to 2.9 last year. In short, while the raw numbers (other than touchdowns; he scored 2 each of his first two years but 5 last year) were unremarkable, Kincaid has actually been getting better. At the same time, Dawson Knox turns 30 this year and hasn’t been anything like his old end-zone threat. Josh Allen and James Cook III have accounted for 54 rushing touchdowns the last two years. It’s impossible to believe that sustains. So expect more scores through the air in Buffalo in 2026, and that bodes well for Dalton Kincaid.