This ball had a 99% catch probability — and Yankees' Trent Grisham didn't catch it

This ball had a 99% catch probability — and Yankees' Trent Grisham didn't catch it originally appeared on The Sporting News. Add The Sporting News as a Preferred Source by clicking here.

Apparently there was a reason that the numbers said this fly ball from Royals superstar Bobby Witt Jr. only had a 99% catch probability.

"So you're telling me there's a chance," the baseball said to Yankees centerfielder Trent Grisham.

Yep, the 1% happened on Friday night at Yankee Stadium.

Grisham went back on a lofted fly, settled under it, and then... didn't catch it.

It was, more or less, a routine out. Instead, it looked like this:

99% catch probability, per @ChrisKirschnerpic.twitter.com/i1LCk4GmvC

— Underdog MLB (@UnderdogMLB) April 18, 2026

At times in his career, Grisham has been regarded as a very good fielder. This play was clearly anything but that.

You can see in the broadcast video above that Yankees pitcher Cam Schlittler looks quite confused. It's a look that says, "I really got Bobby Witt out except you somehow dropped the ball?"

The play didn't cost the Yankees the game. They went on to win, 4-2.

But it's clearly a lowlight in what has been a relatively slow start to the season for Grisham. Most of his underlying hitting stats are good, but his numbers haven't reflected it, aside from two homers in a game earlier this week.

The least Grisham could do is catch some relatively routine opportunities in the outfield. Not this time, though.